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Who will win New Hampshire? Ranking the Democratic primary candidates with a month to go - The Boston Globe

posted onJanuary 14, 2020
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Article snippet: Just a month remains until New Hampshire voters cast ballots in the first-in-the-nation primary. The result will matter. Historically, if Granite Staters affirm Iowa’s choice, then that candidate has always won their party’s presidential nomination. However, the last two times the decision was split, it led to a protracted 50-state campaign marathon through June. From time to time this past year, the Globe has set out to answer this question: If the New Hampshire primary were held today, who would win? This week, we spoke with 20 New Hampshire activists, operatives, and insiders, who offered their unvarnished look at the race. RELATED | Sanders vs. Biden: Primary could narrow into battle between ‘restoring’ America and a revolution Based on their thoughts, recent polling, and an analysis of candidates’ on-the-ground operations, the list is shorter than two months ago. In early November, there were nine candidates on the list. This has been cut to just five, including the big four and Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota. Most notably, this means that Representative Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii, businessman Tom Steyer, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang have been dropped. All have defied the odds, but with every day that passes, they seem to still be stuck at 3 percent in New Hampshire polls. None shows any signs of pulling off some dramatic Iowa surprise that would change their chances in New Hampshire. Also dropped from the list: Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey, who has... Link to the full article to read more

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