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The Memo: Trump faces uphill 2020 climb | TheHill

posted onDecember 2, 2019
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Article snippet: MORE is a slight underdog to win a second term with less than a year to go before the 2020 election. The president is saddled with low approval ratings nationally and weaknesses with key voting groups. Trump’s approval ratings are mired in the low 40s, and he may remain the first president since modern polling began whose favorability number has never been above 50 percent in a Gallup poll. Trump’s fiery and impulsive style appeals to members of his core Make America Great Again base, who continue to pack large arenas for his campaign rallies. But it costs him badly among other segments of the electorate. In one recent Quinnipiac University poll, for example, his approval ratings were narrowly positive among male voters — 48 percent approval and 45 percent disapproval — but disastrous among female voters. The poll indicated that 61 percent of female voters disapproved of Trump’s job performance and only 32 percent approved. Despite those stiff headwinds, Trump is nowhere close to a point where he can be counted out, however. Going into Election Day 2016, he had the lowest favorability ratings of any major party nominee in history — numbers that were measurably worse than the opponent he went on to defeat, Democrat MORE. Trump threaded the needle on that occasion by demolishing the states that had been seen as a Democratic "blue wall" in the Rust Belt and Upper Midwest — Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. The president remains competitive in those states, accor... Link to the full article to read more

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